Comparison of Three Time Series Forecasting Methods on Linear Regression, Exponential Smoothing and Weighted Moving Average

نویسندگان

چکیده

The purpose of this study is to compare the 3 forecasting methods Linear Regression, Exponential Smoothing and Weighted Moving Average based on smallest error value or close zero. From results study, Regression method was obtained as correct with a predicted 502 students, MAD 27.83, MSE 1152.1 MAPE 8.1%. Tracking Signal moves between 1 -1, movement within control limits tracking signal standard deviation distribution 4 -4, meaning that correct. Range 68 -46, MR 117.83 -117.83, result shows means has been tested for truth can be accepted well. Thus, indicating appropriate acceptable basis future decision making. level accuracy in there time series data relationship x variable, namely time, variable y, actual data. In addition, it produces trending patterns, movements experience significant increase over long period 7 periods.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: IJIIS: International Journal of Informatics and Information Systems

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2579-7069']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.47738/ijiis.v6i2.165